Patients with extremity and trunk wall STS in the EORTC-STBSG 62931 RCT were analysed (N = 290/351). Ten-year predicted probability of overall survival (pr-OS) was calculated using the prognostic nomogram Sarculator. Patients were grouped into three categories of predicted pr-OS: high (pr-OS>66%), intermediate (51
RESULTS
Nomogram pr-OS was dispersed (median 72%, interquartile range 57-83%) and had prognostic value for OS and DFS (log-rank test: P < 0.001). One hundred seventy, 68 and 52 patients had high (58.6%, 90 Obs/80 Adj), intermediate (23.5%, 34 Obs/34 Adj) and low pr-OS (17.9%, 24 Obs/28 Adj), respectively. Adjuvant chemotherapy halved the risk of recurrence (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.46, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.24-0.89) and death (HR = 0.46, 95% CI 0.23-0.94) in the low pr-OS category, while no effect was detected in intermediate and high pr-OS categories. To strengthen these findings, study participants with pr-OS<60% were combined (N = 80, 27.6%, 39 Obs/41 Adj), and a significant DFS (HR = 0.49, 95% CI 0.28-0.85) and OS (HR = 0.50, 95% CI 0.30-0.90) benefit was detected.
CONCLUSION
Patients of the EORTC-STBSG 62931 RCT with extremity and trunk wall STS and a low predicted pr-OS (high-risk patients) had better outcomes when treated with adjuvant chemotherapy. This may help reconcile the disparate results of clinical studies on adjuvant/neoadjuvant chemotherapy in STS.